$BTC – My outlook on the low-timeframes remains unchanged.

The price is now approaching the 2D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a reliable reversal zone over the last few months.

Because of that, I believe the best approach is to stay cautious until the price durably breaks above it, as we may still see further consolidation around the high-timeframe support range, aligning with the late-May highs, before a more decisive reversal to the upside.

In practical terms, I think the smart move is to wait for clear signs of strength, such as a clean reclaim of the support band, before betting on any major reversal.

That means avoiding leverage, maintaining some cash exposure in case of a rejection, and using it to hedge spot holdings if downside risk rises.

This is the exact strategy I’ve been following over the last couple of months, which has allowed me to profit even in this sideways consolidation.

As we move closer to the cycle top, I believe this conservative, risk-managed approach will continue to perform best:

Keep a moderate cash allocation for hedging.

Have a diversified portfolio with exposure to defensive sectors.

Scale out of the defensive positions during pullbacks.

Avoid derivatives entirely, both perpetuals and options, to protect against unnecessary liquidation risk.